Business Description
Full legal name: Kumari Bank Limited NEPSE ticker: KBL Class: A (Commercial Bank) Regulator: Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) Registered office: Durbar Marg, Kathmandu
Kumari Bank Limited is a Class A commercial bank licensed by Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) and listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE). The bank was incorporated on April 3, 2001 under the Company Act 2053 (BS) and the Banks and Financial Institutions Act (BAFIA). (Source: Company self-reported — KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Report p. 27.)
As of Ashad end 2082 (July 2025), KBL operates through 302 branches, 50 extension counters, 48 branchless banking units, 317 ATMs, and 1,201 POS terminals — approximately 400 service outlets across all seven provinces of Nepal. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD p. 30.)
The bank holds two wholly-owned subsidiaries:
- KBL Securities Limited — stock broking services
- Kumari Capital Limited — mutual fund management
(Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Section 11, p. 45.)
The NCC Bank Merger (Poush 2079 / January 2023). KBL merged with Nepal Credit and Commerce Bank Limited (NCC Bank) at a 1:1 share swap ratio. NCC Bank contributed 156 branches, approximately 1,577 employees, NPR 126.16B in deposits, NPR 119.48B in loans, and total assets of NPR 154.57B. Post-merger paid-up capital rose from NPR 14.71B to NPR 26.23B. (Source: KBL 23rd Annual Report FY 2079/80.)
Revenue model. KBL earns income through (a) net interest margin on loans and advances; (b) fee and commission income from trade finance, remittances, and digital payments; (c) treasury and trading income; and (d) exchange income. In FY 2081/82, Net Interest Income (NII) constituted 76.5% of total operating income (NPR 11,622M of NPR 15,194M). (Derived from KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, P&L Statement p. 56.)
Loan portfolio mix (Ashad end 2082): Corporate 47.8% (NPR 139,509M), Retail 27.0% (NPR 78,923M), SME 19.8% (NPR 57,785M), Deprived sector 5.5% (NPR 16,096M). (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD p. 32.)
Five-Year Financial Summary
All figures in NPR Million unless noted. Source: KBL Annual Reports FY 2077/78–2081/82 (BOD 5-year synopsis tables, audited P&L and balance sheet statements). FY 2077/78 figures from the FY 2080/81 BOD synopsis table.
| Indicator | FY 2077/78 | FY 2078/79 | FY 2079/80 | FY 2080/81 | FY 2081/82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paid-up Capital (M) | 13,878 | 14,711 | 26,226 | 26,226 | 26,226 |
| Total Deposits (M) | 157,178 | 182,962 | 325,281 | 350,756 | 379,620 |
| Loans & Advances (M) | 143,772 | 159,444 | 289,388 | 293,415 | 292,313 |
| Investments (M) | 23,073 | 23,420 | 44,482 | 66,400 | 81,659 |
| Total Assets (M) | 189,792 | 212,108 | 380,525 | 409,453 | 441,684 |
| Net Interest Income (M) | 5,078 | 6,217 | 11,066 | 10,803 | 11,622 |
| Other Income (M) | 1,634 | 1,869 | 2,263 | 3,173 | 3,572 |
| Operating Expense (M) | 3,164 | 3,552 | 3,980 | 5,821 | 6,155 |
| Pre-LLP Operating Profit (M) | 3,481 | 4,370 | 9,117 | 7,840 | 9,039 |
| Loan Loss Provision (LLP) (M) | 812 | 802 | 8,116 | 6,841 | 3,451 |
| Net Profit (M) | 1,971 | 2,580 | 518 | 5 | 1,820 |
| NPL Ratio (%) | 0.96% | 1.11% | 4.96% | 5.96% | 6.95% |
| CAR (%) | 13.71% | 12.63% | 12.11% | 11.42% | 12.31% |
| EPS (NPR) | 14.20 | 17.54 | 1.97 | 0.02 | 6.94 |
| ROA (%) | ~1.04% | 1.22% | 0.14% | ~0.001% | ~0.41% |
| ROE (%) | ~9.2% | 12.28% | 1.47% | ~0.01% | ~4.9% |
| CD Ratio (%) | 90.99% | 86.58% | 86.03% | 81.48% | 75.73% |
| Spread Rate (%) | n/a | 4.07% | 4.98% | 3.95% | 3.59% |
| Branches | 197 | 199 | 350 | 302 | 302 |
| Employees | 1,845 | 1,845 | 3,296 | 3,280 | 3,107 |
Notes: ROA derived as Net Profit / Average Total Assets. ROE derived as Net Profit / Average Total Equity. FY 2079/80 is the merger year — all balance sheet figures are post-merger, with NCC Bank integrated from Poush 16, 2079 (January 1, 2023). LLP = Impairment Charge/(Reversal) for Loans and Other Losses.
Trajectory. Deposits grew from NPR 157,178M to NPR 379,620M over five years, with the merger accounting for the largest step-change in FY 2079/80. Net profit collapsed from NPR 2,580M (FY 2078/79) through near-zero (NPR 5M in FY 2080/81) as merger-related NPLs triggered large provisioning charges, before recovering to NPR 1,820M in FY 2081/82 as LLP declined. NPL has risen every year from 0.96% (FY 2077/78) to 6.95% (FY 2081/82).
Quarterly Performance — FY 2082/83
Source: KBL Interim Financial Statements Q1 (17 Oct 2025), Q2 (14 Jan 2026), Q3 (13 Apr 2026) — Bank standalone figures in NPR.
| Metric | Q1 FY82/83 | Q2 FY82/83 | Q3 FY82/83 | 9M YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Income | 7,336M | 7,840M | 6,402M | 21,578M |
| Interest Expense | 4,424M | 3,968M | 3,884M | 12,276M |
| Net Interest Income | 2,912M | 3,872M | 2,519M | 9,302M |
| Net Fee & Commission | 849M | 760M | 663M | 2,272M |
| Total Operating Income | 4,215M | 4,997M | ~3,600M | 12,813M |
| Impairment Charge (LLP) | 1,264M | 244M | 59M | 1,567M |
| Personnel Expenses | 1,091M | 1,413M | 1,001M | 3,506M |
| Net Profit | 1,057M | 1,663M | 1,458M | 4,178M |
| Annualized EPS (NPR) | 16.11 | 20.74 | 21.24 | — |
| NPL Ratio (%) | 6.98% | 6.92% | 6.94% | — |
| CAR (%) | 12.54% | 12.81% | 12.82% | — |
| CD Ratio (%) | 79.07% | 76.40% | 77.14% | — |
| Base Rate (%) | 5.82% | 5.60% | 5.35% | — |
| Spread (%) | 3.53% | 3.27% | 3.13% | — |
| ROE (annualized, %) | 11.10% | 13.72% | 13.40% | — |
| ROA (annualized, %) | 0.96% | 1.20% | 1.17% | — |
The central pattern of FY 2082/83 through Q3: LLP collapsed from 1,264M (Q1) → 244M (Q2) → 59M (Q3). This is the single most important driver of the earnings recovery. NPL has shown a two-quarter plateau (6.92%–6.94%). Nine-month net profit of NPR 4,178M already exceeds the full-year FY 2081/82 net profit of NPR 1,820M. (Source: Q1–Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filings.)
Balance Sheet & Working Capital
Source: Audited Statement of Financial Position, KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82 (Bank standalone, p. 55); Q3 FY 2082/83 Interim Balance Sheet (13 April 2026).
Five-Year Balance Sheet Trend (Bank Standalone, NPR Million)
| Item | FY 2077/78 | FY 2078/79 | FY 2079/80 | FY 2080/81 | FY 2081/82 | Q3 FY 2082/83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & NRB placements | ~13,000 | ~15,000 | ~35,000 | 47,740 | 56,690 | 36,222 |
| Interbank placements | ~8,000 | ~7,000 | ~14,153 | 12,168 | 27,541 | 33,899 |
| Loans to customers | 143,772 | 159,444 | 270,937 | 268,431 | 260,322 | 273,213 |
| Investment securities | 23,073 | 23,420 | 44,482 | 64,635 | 80,099 | 110,111 |
| Total Assets | 189,792 | 212,108 | 380,525 | 409,453 | 441,684 | 474,307 |
| Customer deposits | 157,178 | 182,962 | 316,047 | 333,111 | 364,639 | 381,667 |
| BFI borrowings | ~8,000 | ~8,500 | 9,234 | 14,717 | 11,085 | 17,575 |
| Debt securities | — | — | 8,988 | 13,980 | 13,982 | 13,984 |
| Total Equity | ~20,800 | ~21,002 | 35,314 | 34,803 | 37,117 | 41,575 |
| Retained Earnings | Positive | Positive | (2,203) | (5,367) | (3,850) | (1,990) |
FY 2077/78 and FY 2078/79 cash/interbank items are estimates derived from asset breakdowns. All other figures sourced from audited statements or interim filings.
Key balance-sheet observations:
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Investment securities surge. From NPR 23B (FY 2078/79) to NPR 110B (Q3 FY 2082/83) — a near 5x increase. This reflects the bank channeling excess liquidity into government bonds and T-bills as the CD ratio fell from 91% to 77%. The investment yield on government securities (approximately 8–9% currently) provides predictable income with zero credit risk and zero provisioning requirement, partially substituting for loan growth that management cannot safely pursue given NPL pressures.
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Retained earnings recovery in progress. Cumulative losses from FY 2079/80 through FY 2081/82 left retained earnings at (NPR 5,367M) at Ashad end 2081. By Q3 FY 2082/83, retained earnings had improved to (NPR 1,990M). NRB regulations prohibit dividend distribution while retained earnings remain negative.
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Debt securities outstanding (NPR 13,982M). Represents debentures/bonds outstanding, carried at amortized cost, stable across the period. (Sources cited in Section 4 of underlying research.)
Key Ratios
CD Ratio trend (loans / deposits): FY 2077/78: 90.99% → FY 2078/79: 86.58% → FY 2079/80: 86.03% → FY 2080/81: 81.48% → FY 2081/82: 75.73% → Q3 FY 2082/83: 77.14%. The NRB ceiling is 90%; KBL has approximately 13 percentage points of headroom. (Derived: Loans / Customer Deposits; inputs from audited statements and interim filings.)
NPL coverage ratio:
- FY 2081/82: Gross NPL 20,318M; provisions held approximately NPR 18,155M; implied coverage ~89%. (Derived from annual filing NPL ratios.)
- Q3 FY 2082/83: Gross NPL implied at 6.94% × 273,213M = NPR 18,961M; net NPL 2.69% = NPR 7,349M; provisions held approximately NPR 11,612M; coverage ~61%. The decline in coverage ratio likely reflects the NRB ECL guidance effective Shrawan 2081 changing interest recognition on Stage 3 assets and possibly improving collateral valuations. (Source: Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filing; ECL note from KBL 25th Annual Report Auditor's Report, p. 50–52.)
Market Position & Competitive Landscape
KBL's Position Among Nepal's Commercial Banks
Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, citing NRB Monthly Statistics Mid-July 2025.
| Metric | KBL Value (FY 2081/82) | Commercial Bank Total | KBL Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Branches | 302 | 5,099 | 5.92% |
| Deposit Accounts | 2,988,968 | 51,380,289 | 5.82% |
| Loan Accounts | 86,185 | 1,567,508 | 5.50% |
| Mobile Banking Users | 1,782,079 | 23,787,529 | 7.49% |
| Credit Cards | 29,056 | 315,138 | 9.22% |
| ATMs | 318 | 4,801 | 6.63% |
Mobile banking and credit card penetration (7.49% and 9.22%, respectively) are notably higher than deposit account share (5.82%), suggesting a relatively young, digitally-engaged customer base. KBL is ranked approximately 6th–7th among 20 commercial banks by total assets (NPR 441B vs system total approximately NPR 7,200B). (Estimate based on NRB system aggregate.)
Peer NPL Comparison (Q3 FY 2082/83, approximate)
| Bank | NPL (%) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| EBL | 0.68% | Best-in-class asset quality |
| NABIL | 4.37% | Premium quality |
| GBIME | 4.97% | Post-merger, NPL pressure |
| KBL | 6.94% | Post-merger recovery phase |
| NIC Asia | 8.85% | Highest NPL among major banks |
(Source: NEPSE Trading blog, "Non-Performing Loans and Loan Loss Provisions in Nepali Banks," accessed June 2026 — Secondary, not independently verified from bank filings.)
The Houladar Yunus Loan Portfolio Review
In August 2025, NRB commissioned Howladar Yunus & Co. of Bangladesh to conduct a full loan portfolio review of 10 major commercial banks — covering over 60% of total system lending — as a condition of Nepal's IMF Extended Credit Facility. KBL was among the 10 banks reviewed, alongside Global IME, Nabil, Nepal Investment Mega, Rastriya Banijya, Laxmi Sunrise, Prabhu, Himalayan, NMB, and NIC Asia.
The review found average NPL of 7.70% across the 10 banks — 220 basis points above reported levels — with two banks exceeding 10%. The review documented evergreening, stale collateral valuations, and inadequate provisioning in some cases. KBL's specific finding has not been publicly disclosed; the full report remains non-public as of June 2026. Secondary reporting noted four banks — including KBL — were flagged for insufficient core capital ratios. (Sources: myRepublica, "Loan portfolio review reveals underreported credit risk," accessed June 2026; NEPSE Trading News, June 2026 — both Secondary. The capital ratio flag for KBL specifically is not independently verified from a primary NRB source.)
Regulatory Framework
All commercial banks in Nepal operate under the Banks and Financial Institutions Act (BAFIA) 2073 and are directly supervised by Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB). Key applicable regulations:
Capital Adequacy (Basel III). Minimum CAR of 11% (Tier 1 + Tier 2 relative to risk-weighted assets). Minimum CET1 of 7%. As of Q3 FY 2082/83, KBL CAR = 12.82%; CET1 = 9.12%. (Source: KBL Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filing, Ratios table.)
Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR). 4% of total deposits. (Source: NRB Monetary Policy FY 2082/83, as reported by Nepal Economic Forum — Secondary.)
Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR). 12% for commercial banks.
Credit-to-Deposit (CD) Ratio ceiling. 90%. KBL's Q3 CD ratio of 77.14% provides substantial headroom.
Interest Rate Spread ceiling. NRB caps the spread (lending rate minus deposit rate). KBL's Q3 spread of 3.13% is within regulatory limits. (Source: KBL Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filing, Ratios.)
Policy Rate (FY 2082/83). Policy Rate reduced from 5% to 4.5% at start of FY 2082/83, and further to 4.25% at the first quarterly review. Bank rate reduced from 6.5% to 6.0%. (Source: NRB Monetary Policy first quarterly review, reported by Sharesansar, December 2025 — Secondary.)
Deprived Sector Lending. All commercial banks must maintain minimum 5% of total loans to deprived/priority sectors. KBL FY 2081/82: Deprived sector loans NPR 16,096M = 5.5% of total loans. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD p. 32.)
Income Tax. Commercial banks are subject to 30% corporate income tax. (Source: Nepal Finance Act 2082/83, PKF Trunco Tax Rates document — Secondary.)
Interest Income Recognition (NRB Guidance Note 2025, effective Shrawan 2081). Loans are staged under NFRS 9 (Stage 1/2: accrual on coupon rate; Stage 3: cash basis only). This was flagged as a key audit matter by KBL's auditors. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, Independent Auditor's Report — Key Audit Matter (a), p. 50.)
Expected Credit Loss (ECL) Framework. NRB mandated adoption of NFRS 9 ECL model from Shrawan 2081. Loan loss provisions are taken at the higher of: (i) NRB regulatory provisioning norms or (ii) ECL model output. (Source: KBL Q1 FY 2082/83 interim filing, Notes to Financial Statements.)
Related-Party Transactions & Governance
Related-Party Transactions
FY 2081/82 BOD Report, Section 23: "There were no reportable transactions during the review period." (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Section 23, p. 47.)
Section 19 (Amounts due from Directors/managers/shareholders): "There are no outstanding amounts owed to the Bank." (Source: Same, Section 19, p. 46.)
Section 14 (Personal interests of Directors in contracts): "No information has been brought to the Bank's notice." (Source: Same, Section 14, p. 46.)
Note: RPT disclosures above are management self-reported under the Companies Act. No third-party verification is possible from available sources.
Board of Directors
Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Report, p. 42–48.
| Name | Role |
|---|---|
| Amir Pratap J.B. Rana | Chairman |
| Pashupati Murarka | Director |
| Mahesh Prasad Pokharel | Director (Risk Management Committee Coordinator) |
| Bijay Kumar Shrestha | Director (AML Committee Coordinator) |
| Rajaram Khadka | Director (Audit Committee Chair, Non-Executive) |
| Bijay Sthapit | Director (Audit Committee member) |
| Simran Agrawal | Director |
Board composition includes Non-Executive Directors on the Audit Committee as required under Companies Act 2063. Audit Committee held 10 meetings in FY 2081/82. Risk Management Committee held 7 meetings. AML Committee held 6 meetings. No changes in board composition during FY 2081/82. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Section N, p. 42–43.)
Senior Management
Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, p. 16.
- CEO: Ram Chandra Khanal
- CFO: Aswin Babu Shrestha
- Deputy CEO: Sudhir Nath Pandey
- CRO: Rohit Singh
CEO Remuneration (FY 2081/82): NPR 17,595,600. Senior management total (124 staff): NPR 395,710,356. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Section 20B, p. 47.)
Ownership Structure
Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Report, p. 32–33.
- Total shares: 262,258,614
- Promoters: 133,899,034 shares = 51.06%
- General public: 128,359,580 shares = 48.94%
- Total shareholders: 293,775
No individual promoter or institutional promoter shareholding breakdown is disclosed in the annual report. The promoter group identity is not detailed in available public documents. Not disclosed in KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82.
Joint Statutory Auditors (FY 2081/82):
- G.P. Rajbahak & Co., Chartered Accountants
- N.B.S.M. & Associates, Chartered Accountants (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, Auditor's Report, p. 55.)
Capital Allocation History
Dividend Record
Source: KBL Annual Reports as cited; Sharesansar company page, accessed June 2026.
| FY | Dividend |
|---|---|
| FY 2076/77 | 6% bonus shares + 2.67% cash |
| FY 2077/78 | 6% bonus shares (proposed) |
| FY 2078/79 | 12.5% cash dividend (last major distribution; book close October 31, 2022) |
| FY 2079/80 | Zero (merger year; NPR 518M profit) |
| FY 2080/81 | Zero (NPR 4.61M near-zero profit) |
| FY 2081/82 | Zero ("The Bank has not proposed any dividend distribution" — BOD Section 8, p. 45) |
The bank has not paid any dividend for three consecutive fiscal years (FY 2079/80, 2080/81, 2081/82). NRB regulations prohibit dividend distribution while retained earnings remain negative. Retained earnings stood at (NPR 3,850M) at Ashad end 2082, improving to (NPR 1,990M) by Q3 FY 2082/83. At current earnings pace, the accumulated deficit could be cleared by FY 2083/84. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, audited balance sheet p. 55; Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filing.)
Unclaimed dividends: NPR 257,159,640 from historical distributions (including NCC Bank legacy dividends) remains unclaimed. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD Section 21, p. 47.)
Share Issuances
| Event | FY | Capital Change |
|---|---|---|
| Bonus shares (various years) | 2076/77–2078/79 | NPR 13,878M → 14,711M |
| NCC Bank merger (1:1 swap) | 2079/80 | NPR 14,711M → 26,226M (+78%) |
| No further issuances | 2080/81–2082/83 Q3 | NPR 26,226M (stable) |
(Source: KBL Annual Reports FY 2077/78 through FY 2081/82.)
Capital Expenditure
Capex in FY 2081/82: NPR 1,826M (purchase of PPE and intangibles). Depreciation: NPR 793M. Net capex = NPR 1,033M above depreciation — modest for a 302-branch bank. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, Cash Flow Statement, p. 58.)
Economic Value Added (EVA). EVA was negative for three consecutive years: FY 2079/80: (NPR 2,105M), FY 2080/81: (NPR 2,618M), FY 2081/82: (NPR 803M). EVA is recovering but had not turned positive as of FY 2081/82 year-end. (Source: KBL Annual Reports FY 2079/80 BOD, FY 2080/81 BOD Value Added Statement p. 32, FY 2081/82 BOD Value Added Statement.)
What Is Not Disclosed
The following material questions remain unanswered from available public sources:
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KBL's individual finding from the Houladar Yunus Loan Portfolio Review. The review covered KBL among 10 banks and found average NPL of 7.70% across the group. KBL's reported NPL is 6.94% (Q3 FY 2082/83). Whether KBL's true NPL was found to be materially higher, whether additional provisioning was recommended, and whether capital buffers were flagged as insufficient has not been publicly disclosed. The full report remains non-public as of June 2026. (Sources confirming KBL was reviewed: myRepublica, NEPSE Trading blog, accessed June 2026.) This is the single most important undisclosed fact for any investor in KBL.
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Promoter identity and individual shareholding breakdown. The annual report discloses promoters hold 51.06% as a group but does not name individual promoters or their proportionate holdings.
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Related-party loan exposures. The BOD reports state "no reportable transactions" under Companies Act Section 175. Whether granular related-party loan balances are disclosed deeper in the Notes to Accounts — beyond the pages reviewed — is uncertain.
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Sectoral breakdown of NPL by industry. The NPL table shows Substandard / Doubtful / Bad categories but does not break down which industries account for the largest share of bad loans.
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NCC Bank's loan book quality at the time of merger. The 1:1 swap ratio implied equivalent value, but NCC Bank apparently brought a disproportionate share of the subsequent NPL problem. Whether this reflects pre-merger due diligence gaps or post-merger economic deterioration is not discernible from public filings.
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NPL recovery timeline guidance. Management stated FY 2082/83 targets include 7.62% loan growth and pre-LLP profit +10.43%, but provides no quantitative NPL ratio target for year-end. (Source: KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, BOD targets table, p. 43.)
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Specific additional provisioning required by NRB post-review. Regulatory instructions to individual banks post-Houladar Yunus review have not been publicly disclosed.
Valuation Context
Market data from Sharesansar.com and Merolagani.com, accessed June 26–28, 2026. These are reference figures, not recommendations.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | NPR 208.00 | Sharesansar, June 26, 2026 — Secondary |
| Listed shares | 262.26M | KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82 — Primary |
| Market capitalization | NPR 54.55B | Derived: 208.00 × 262.26M |
| 52-week high / low | NPR 256 / NPR 175.50 | Sharesansar — Secondary |
| Trailing EPS (FY 2081/82, bank) | NPR 6.94 | KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82, P&L p. 56 — Primary |
| Trailing P/E (FY 2081/82) | 29.97x | Derived: 208 / 6.94 |
| Annualized EPS Q3 FY 2082/83 | NPR 21.24 | KBL Q3 FY 2082/83 interim, Ratios section — Primary |
| Forward P/E (on Q3 annualized EPS) | 9.79x | Derived: 208 / 21.24 |
| Book value per share (Q3 FY 2082/83) | NPR 158.53 | KBL Q3 FY 2082/83 interim, Key Indicators — Primary |
| Price-to-Book (Q3) | 1.31x | Derived: 208 / 158.53 |
Note on trailing P/E. The 30x trailing P/E uses FY 2081/82 EPS (near-trough). The Q3 annualized EPS of NPR 21.24 uses nine-month profits extrapolated. Both are shown for transparency. A normalized EPS — assuming NPL stabilizes and LLP settles at mid-cycle levels — would likely fall in the NPR 17–22 range, making the forward P/E of 9.5–12x a more representative valuation anchor.
Key Risks
NPL trajectory. NPL has risen every year since the merger: 0.96% → 1.11% → 4.96% → 5.96% → 6.95% → 6.98% (Q1 FY82/83) → 6.92% (Q2) → 6.94% (Q3). The Q2–Q3 plateau is encouraging but has held for only two quarters. In FY 2081/82, 82.38% of total NPL was in the "Bad" category (NPR 16,738M), compared to 68.07% in FY 2080/81 and 48.11% in FY 2079/80 — indicating NPL is migrating into the loss segment where recovery prospects are weakest. (Source: Annual report NPL breakdowns for each year.)
Houladar Yunus provisioning risk. If NRB mandates that KBL reclassify loans and increase provisioning by even NPR 2,000–3,000M, the FY 2082/83 profit recovery would be materially impaired. At current CAR of 12.82%, KBL has approximately 182bps of buffer above the 11% NRB minimum — this buffer could be consumed if additional provisions reduce Tier 2 capital. (Source: Q3 FY 2082/83 interim filing, Ratios; NRB Basel III framework.)
Dividend resumption horizon. No dividend for three consecutive years (FY 2079/80 through FY 2081/82), with retained earnings still negative at (NPR 1,990M) at Q3 FY 2082/83. Even if the deficit is cleared in FY 2082/83, initial dividends would be small. Investors seeking income cannot rely on KBL in the near term.
NCC merger execution. The 1:1 swap ratio with NCC Bank brought a loan book that generated a significant NPL problem. Management acknowledged in the FY 2080/81 BOD letter: "following the merger... we faced various challenges, including increased pressure on the bank's loan assets and a rise in non-performing loans." (Source: KBL 24th Annual Report FY 2080/81, BOD letter, p. 36.)
What We're Watching
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Public disclosure of KBL's individual Houladar Yunus finding. This is the most important near-term variable. If NRB mandates no additional provisioning for KBL and the reported 6.94% NPL is confirmed, the earnings recovery narrative is intact. If additional provisioning is required, the FY 2082/83 profit trajectory is impaired. The NRB is expected to communicate findings to individual banks; public disclosure may lag.
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NPL ratio in Q4 FY 2082/83 and the FY 2082/83 annual result. Two consecutive quarters of NPL plateau (6.92%–6.94%) suggest the peak may be forming. The Q4 figure (to be disclosed in the FY 2082/83 annual report, expected July 2026) will confirm or deny this. A print below 6.5% with sustained low LLP would constitute material positive evidence. Management's stated target includes continued loan growth of 7.62% — loan growth with NPL stability is the required combination.
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Retained earnings trajectory and dividend resumption. The bank needs to clear the accumulated deficit before dividends can resume. At the Q3 FY 2082/83 run rate of approximately NPR 5,000–5,500M full-year net profit, the remaining deficit of NPR 1,990M would be cleared within FY 2082/83 itself. The FY 2082/83 annual report will confirm this.
References
| # | Document Title | Publisher | Date Accessed | URL | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KBL 20th Annual Report FY 2077/78 | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 2 | KBL 22nd Annual Report FY 2078/79 | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 3 | KBL 23rd Annual Report FY 2079/80 | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 4 | KBL 24th Annual Report FY 2080/81 | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 5 | KBL 25th Annual Report FY 2081/82 | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 6 | KBL Q1 FY 2082/83 Interim Financial Statements (17 Oct 2025) | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 7 | KBL Q2 FY 2082/83 Interim Financial Statements (14 Jan 2026) | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 8 | KBL Q3 FY 2082/83 Interim Financial Statements (13 Apr 2026) | Kumari Bank Limited | June 2026 | Primary — company filing, accessible via SEBON/company website | |
| 9 | KBL Share Price Data | Sharesansar.com | June 28, 2026 | https://www.sharesansar.com/company/kbl | Secondary |
| 10 | KBL Share Price and Valuation Metrics | Merolagani.com | June 28, 2026 | https://merolagani.com/CompanyDetail.aspx?symbol=kbl | Secondary |
| 11 | "Loan Quality Review Raises Red Flags for Nepal's Banking Sector" | NEPSE Trading Blog | June 2026 | https://nepsetrading.com/blog/loan-quality-review-raises-red-flags-for-nepals-banking-sector | Secondary |
| 12 | "Loan portfolio review reveals underreported credit risk in Nepali banks" | myRepublica | June 2026 | https://myrepublica.nagariknetwork.com/index.php/amp/news/nepali-banks-poor-in-compliance-of-credit-associated-risk-and-reporting-loa-68-74.html | Secondary |
| 13 | "Regulator Tightens Oversight as Loan Quality Review Finds Weaknesses" | NEPSE Trading News | June 2026 | https://news.nepsetrading.com/regulator-tightens-oversight-as-loan-quality-review-finds-weaknesses-in-major-banks | Secondary |
| 14 | "Banking Sector Investment Guide Nepal 2026" | NEPSE Trading Insights | June 2026 | https://nepsetrading.com/insights/banking-sector-investment-guide-nepal-2026 | Secondary |
| 15 | Nepal Monetary Policy FY 2082/83 — First Quarterly Review | Sharesansar citing NRB | December 2025 | https://www.sharesansar.com/newsdetail/nepal-rastra-bank-publishes-first-monetary-policy-review-for-fy-208283-cuts-key-interest-rates-raises-loan-limits-and-supports-disaster-affected-borrowers-2025-12-01 | Secondary |
| 16 | Key Highlights of Monetary Policy FY 2082/83 | Nepal Economic Forum | July 2025 | https://nepaleconomicforum.org/key-highlights-of-the-monetary-policy-for-fy-2025-26-ad-2082-83-bs/ | Secondary |
| 17 | NRB Annual Bank Supervision Report 2024 | Nepal Rastra Bank | March 2025 | https://www.nrb.org.np/contents/uploads/2025/03/Annual-Bank-Supervision-Report-2024-4.pdf | Primary |
| 18 | "Nepal's banking sector non-performing loans rise to 5.60%: NRB Report" | Nepal News English | 2026 | https://english.nepalnews.com/s/business/nepals-banking-sector-non-performing-loans-rise-to-5-60-nrb-report/ | Secondary |
| 19 | Nepal IMF Seventh Review Staff-Level Agreement | IMF Press Release | February 20, 2026 | https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/02/20/pr26058-nepal-imf-reaches-sla-on-7th-review-under-ecf-and-concludes-2026-aiv-consultation | Primary |
| 20 | Tax Rates FY 2082-83 | PKF Trunco | June 2025 | https://pkf.trunco.com.np/files/publications/1748841198_Tax%20Rates%202082-83_Final_250601_213028.pdf | Secondary |